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🇯🇵 The Bank of Japan is on the home stretch A 25 bp interest rate hike is expected this Friday. The probability is already 98%. Some of the market believes this decision is largely already priced in. But there's another side to the story: a number of economists warn that Japan's tightening could trigger pressure on risk assets (as has happened previously) and push BTC all the way to $63,000. Japan's interest rate: noise or a real market trigger? 💰

Oh, wow. Last night, important papers came out of the US Congress, which quietly lobbied Atkins and company to approve the storage of pension assets in crypto. Do you know who's been feasting on the AI ​​sector and that American retirees have been the main investors in the S&P 500 and gold in recent years? Have you seen this news? Neither have I. But everyone's already in the red.

FEDERAL OFFICIALS CONFIRM RATE OUTLOOK, SIGNALING SMALL CUTS AHEAD A few numbers to add to the podcast above: Federal officials left their median forecasts for the federal funds rate unchanged: 3.6% at the end of 2025, 3.4% for 2026, and 3.1% for 2027 and 2028, with a long-term estimate of 3.0%. The forecasts imply a 25 basis point cut in both 2026 and 2027, though opinions on the path forward vary widely. Policymakers expect unemployment to reach 4.4% in 2026, PCE inflation to slow to 2.4%, and GDP growth to 2.3%. Get ready for Powell to say that the contraction cycle hasn't begun and the Fed is forecasting a difficult economic reality in which they can only afford a 0.25% contraction PER YEAR. This will be the tone for all three sessions while he's in office, and Trump doesn't have an ideological majority at the Fed. UPDATE: The crowd isn't reading any of this; they'll hear it all from Powell, and I think they'll be very upset. The short-selling idea is still relevant.

Capital is flowing into #BTC and #ETH. 🪙Bitcoin has recovered to around $90,000 after $2 billion in liquidations last week, and the total crypto market capitalization has risen to approximately $3.25 trillion. Volatility remains high, as investors choose calmer, more profitable strategies without significant market risk, instead of aggressively betting on altcoins, awaiting signals from the Fed and the macroeconomy.👀

🇺🇸Markets are 86% anticipating a 0.25% Fed rate cut at Wednesday's meeting. This is the key event of the coming week—liquidity, risk appetite, and investor positions will depend on the regulator's decision.‼️

The shutdown is almost over 🗣 The US Senate has approved the government reopening bill ~ the required number of votes has been reached. The final vote will take place tomorrow, and the House of Representatives will consider the document on Wednesday. Therefore, the US government could reopen as early as this week. Trump stated: "We're close to ending the shutdown. Everything will become clear very soon." The market reacted with growth 🕶 Bitcoin rose above $106,000 Ethereum broke through $3,600 Alts rose by an average of 15-30% in a day. 💬 Guys, do you think this is truly positive news or another attempt at market manipulation? 😈

Key Events This Week🔊 Monday, December 1: 4:45 PM - Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) (letter) 5:00 PM - ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) (sheet) Tuesday, December 2: 3:00 AM - Fed Chairman Powell's Speech 5:00 PM - JOLTS Job Openings (ver) Wednesday, December 3: 3:15 PM - ADP Nonfarm Payrolls (sheet) 4:45 PM - Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) (letter) 5:00 PM - ISM Non-Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) (letter) 5:30 PM - Crude Oil Inventories Thursday, December 4: 3:30 PM - Initial Jobless Claims Unemployment Friday, December 5: 5:00 PM - Core Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index (MoM) (ver) 5:00 PM - Core Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index (Rs) (ver) Have a great week everyone 💪🏻

❗️BTC and ETH options expire today! (Deribit) $13.1b in #BTC options and $1.7b in #ETH options. ▫️Main interest zone in BTC = $98,000 ▫️Main interest zone in ETH = $3,400

Have something to say???

#SPX6900 The asset continues to move in an uptrend. Locally, we are trading within a descending channel, which more closely resembles a bullish flag formation. This pattern usually indicates the likelihood of continued upward movement. Given the current structure, I expect some further consolidation within the channel, followed by an upward move and a subsequent test of the $0.68 level.

That's where the rocket is 😨 Don't be too scared, I think we'll still grow quite a bit. BTC is rock solid!

🔥 #NVDA Nvidia company report – earnings per share amounted to $1.30 (with forecast of $1.26)

🪙 #BTC We've formed another daily imbalance in Bitcoin, with its midpoint at $97,350. In my opinion, by capturing liquidity below, in the $94,000 area, the price could head toward breaking this imbalance. The key is breaking the local high at $97,373. If this level is broken, the uptrend toward $100,000 will be confirmed.

Hola, Amigos! 👻

cheers bear I myself was ready in the data center to go crazy and complain to the system administrator - well done in time.

If anyone is interested in the Smart Money courses from Kost Kudo, write to @zhena16 - the first 3 get a 50% discount!

🇺🇸 Donald Trump now claims that the consequences of lifting the tariffs could exceed $3,000,000,000,000. He claims that the US Supreme Court was presented with incorrect data, and if the court rules against the tariffs, it will pose a serious threat to national security and could have catastrophic, possibly even fatal, consequences for the country's future.