Crypto Trading Signals®️
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$EPIC/USDT LONG
Going long on $EPIC at the market price ($0.5408) with DCA at $0.5085 and stoploss at $0.4897. Price trading above the 4H support + 1D 12 EMA and 4H QVWAP.
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$BTC UPDATE
Not a big fan of using smaller timeframe structures to find reversals on higher timeframes but it usually provides a very good entry and you can actually use it for higher RR setups. So, since the 5m structure turned bullish yesterday, I’d advise waiting for another flip to bearish structure and only then short. Market here is extremely difficult to trade because of low volumes and range bound environment, so don’t caught up shorting the bottom.
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$BNB UPDATE
DCA filled pico at $841, average entry is $882. DCA was set at last 4H FVG + 0.705 Fib level extending from $802 low to $927 high. A reaction here is a good sign that we may see a higher high after this. The same logic which I explained for Bitcoin yesterday is applicable here aswell.
$BTC UPDATE: THE STRUCTURE
Let's start with the obvious part that everyone can see. On the daily and 4H timeframes, Bitcoin's structure is straight up bearish. We dumped from $108K down to the $80K area, and that created this whole bearish momentum that's still in play. Think of this as the "big picture". For that external bearish structure to actually flip bullish on 4H, we'd need to break and close above $94.5K. That's the level that would tell us "0K, the 4H downtrend is officially over and we're starting a new uptrend (forget about 1D trend flip)". Until that happens, on the higher timeframes we're still technically in bearish territory.
Now if you zoom in, after price made that low around $80.6K area (which btw had massive support from three different cost basis metrics - the True Market Mean at $81K, ETF average cost basis at $83,844, and the 2024 yearly cost basis near $83K), something changed in term of internal structure. Instead of just continuing to dump lower, price started making these higher lows. Look at the chart and you can see that ascending trendline connecting the lows. Each time price pulled back, it didn't go as low as before. That's a higher low pattern forming, which is the first sign that sellers are losing control. Then we started getting higher highs too. Not huge ones, but small moves up that peaked slightly higher than the previous peak. So internally, even though we're still trapped in that bigger bearish structure from the $108K top, the smaller structure is actually starting to look bullish.
Now the previous higher low that formed in this internal structure was at the 0.75 fib level. Price bounced and went on to make a higher high, continuing that internal bullish structure. So, after the market open today, we could see another push downward to the $86.5K area, which is exactly where the 0.75 fib level sits for this current swing and have a new higher high for this internal structure. If instead we get to $86.5K and price just slowly bleeds through it without any bounce, that would tell the pattern isn't working and the internal structure might be failing. In that case, the next support to watch would be back down at the $83K-$84K area.
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$BTC UPDATE
Another bigger trendline in play on the bitcoin chart on multiple higher timeframes. $93K for now is definitely the ultimate resistance with no signs of breakout yet. The only good part is that atleast we haven’t seen a major sell off event (mainly due to no significant ETF outflows) and price is retesting this level over and over again.
Also, Bank of Japan is expected to make a 25 basis point hike (98% probability) to 0.75% at their December 18-19 meeting. And previous rate hikes by the BOJ have always resulted in sharp downside moves on bitcoin chart, so make sure to keep an eye on this aswell and this is actually a huge deal considering the year end liquidity is always thin with low volumes, this could become a big news pretty quick.
$BTC UPDATE: WHY NO DUMP?
So, if you've been watching bitcoin move in this $85K - $93K range and wondering why it's not just dumping already, this chart tells you pretty much everything you need to know. The whole story is in the ETF flows, and honestly, once you understand what's happening here, the current sideways price action makes way more sense. Since late November and into December, the flows have basically gone quiet. You're seeing tiny red bars, tiny green bars, and a lot of days that are basically flat. And this is exactly why price keeps consolidating instead of breaking down. Think about it, if institutions were running for the exits, you'd see massive red bars like we had green bars in October. But that's not happening.
This might sound weird, but the lack of big moves in either direction could actually be bullish short term for price stability considering we are just consolidating under $93K. When ETFs see outflows, that creates real selling pressure and after January 10, 2024, bitcoin’s price action is now pretty much tied to the ETF numbers. When there are no big outflows, that selling pressure just doesn't exist. So right now, we're in this zone where the institutions are not selling, but they're also not aggressively buying more. That creates this range bound action where price can't really dump because there's no forced selling, but it also can't really pump without new buyers stepping in, simple.
$BTC UPDATE
Price finally breaking below this longheld ascending trendline and will most likely reach $86K after the daily open in the next few hours. Stalecoin dominance also have the upside trendline breakout. Be careful chasing longs here.
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$BTCDOM UPDATE
As mentioned in the update yesterday, longs were at significant risk due to $BTCDOM being at range lows and daily support and the only hope was for the index to break below this level. Now that it’s been ripping off, best to focus on shorts while the index moves towards the range highs.
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FOMC UPDATE: THE GOOD NEWS
GDP growth for 2026: From 1.8% to 2.3% (Big Upgrade)
PCE inflation for 2026: From 2.6% to 2.4% (Cooling Faster)
Core PCE also improved
Perfect scenario for rate cuts, right? Wrong. Still from 3.6% to 3.4% in 2026. Same path with no extra cuts.
Also, in September, around 3-4 FOMC members expected rates at 3.6% or higher in 2026 (no cuts), but by now this number has increased to approximately 5-7 members, signaling a clear hawkish shift in committee consensus and that is pretty much the only thing in the Summary of Economic Projections document that market may see as bearish.
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$BTCDOM UPDATE
$BTCDOM back at the support or the range low for the range that the index has been moving inside for the last 5 weeks. Obviously because of this, taking any long positions today on altcoins is going to be a risky endeavour unless the index loses this support which is a totally different story. 80% chances it pumps from here going for the range high or the resistance.
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$BTC UPDATE: FOMC DAY
Big day today, federal funds rate decision to be announced in approximately 10 hours (7:00 PM UK Time). Bitcoin again just gave a fakeout above $93K resistance with no close, so yeah no change in the plan, we’ll wait patiently for the close above this resistance. I did post a detailed update on FOMC yesterday, please make sure to give it a read.
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$BTC UPDATE: USDT DOMINANCE
Bitcoin is back at $93K resistance but seems like we are about to see a reclaim soon because USDT Dominance is losing this big daily ascending trendline. Remember that USDT is already at big weekly resistance and back in April also, after a big uptrend, index started to lose momentum after breaking below a large ascending trendline. I can see something similar unfolding here aswell.
BITCOIN UPDATE: THE FED DECISION
As we are almost 24 hours away from the Fed’s interest rate decision and bitcoin is still chopping inside the same range, remember that this is the single macro event that will decide if we are reclaiming this resistance and going to $100K or we are having a new lower low printed around $75K region. So, basically Powell is about to pump your shitcoins or make you eat noodles for the next two months.
I always tell people that the uncertainty is not because the cut itself is a surprise, but because the dot plot and Powell’s press conference tomorrow are going to be the actual surprise factors. The rate cut is just the boring part, the real fun begins when daddy starts talking.
Markets are pricing in the cut with around 89% probability of a 25bp move, so the cut is definitely priced in already and the real move will come from forward guidance, the distribution of the new dot plot (how many members are expecting more cuts next year), and the tone Powell uses when asked about future monetary policy and data dependence during the press conference.
The reason why the dot plot matters alot here is because this is the last FOMC meeting for 2025 and we are about to have a final outlook of Fed’s collective roadmap for 2026. If the median dot only signals 1–2 cuts, it means rates will stay higher for 2026 keeping the dollar strong and is most likely going to result in bitcoin printing a new lower low (abandon all hope). But if the median shifts toward 3–4 cuts, that’s when you can expect a breakout above this $93K resistance.
Finally, this meeting is unusually tricky because the Fed is divided internally (we have seen this in previous dot plot and various different statements made my members) and is making decisions with less fresh macro data than usual. So yes, the fate of your long is currently being decided by a group of economists who can’t agree with each other. Good luck!
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$TAKE UPDATE
Taking small TP1 here and moving stops breakeven.
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$BTC UPDATE
No changes to the outlook from last week. The structure remains the same and the plan remains the same. Bitcoin is still trading directly under a major weekly resistance, and as long as we stay under this level, there is absolutely no reason to force the market.
What we need is simple:
A clean 1D close above the $93K resistance.
Only then the long setup would make sense , with $108K as the minimum target based on the next big resistance.
Every correlated chart - TOTALES, Stablecoin Dominance, all pointing in the same direction right now that price is at resistance, not breaking out of it. So, we wait for confirmation, or we wait for lower levels. Anything in between is unnecessary noise.
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$BTC UPDATE
No changes to the outlook from last week. The structure remains the same and the plan remains the same. Bitcoin is still trading directly under a major weekly resistance, and as long as we stay under this level, there is absolutely no reason to force the market.
What we need is simple:
A clean 1D close above the $93K resistance.
Only then the long setup would make sense , with $108K as the minimum target based on the next big resistance.
Every correlated chart - TOTALES, Stablecoin Dominance, all pointing in the same direction right now that price is at resistance, not breaking out of it. So, we wait for confirmation, or we wait for lower levels. Anything in between is unnecessary noise.
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$TAKE/USDT LONG
Entry Point:
Entry: Market Price ($0.36300)
DCA Level: $0.33431
Stop Loss:
Stop Loss: 0.31659
Target:
Final Target: 0.58501
Leverage: 5x-10x
Reasoning: Breakout Above Prev ATH + VWAP
Rating:
This setup is rated 6/10
