Crypto Retro

✅ Privacy Coins Surge Amid Broader Market Decline 📈 On November 4, the privacy coin sector experienced a significant rally, with total market capitalization increasing by 5.5%. This rise stood in stark contrast to the broader cryptocurrency market's downturn. The surge highlights the growing "privacy meta" trend that has recently attracted investor attention. 🚀 Leading this rally was Dash (DASH), which saw a remarkable 77% increase in just 24 hours, reaching a price of $147. This movement pushed its market capitalization past $1.8 billion. Over the past week, DASH has gained over 200%, making it one of the top-performing digital assets. Since October 5, when it was trading just under $35, DASH has surged more than 320%. 🔝 While DASH experienced the sharpest spike, Zcash (ZEC) remains the leader in long-term rally performance. A 24-hour gain of over 20% pushed its price to $477 and briefly raised its market capitalization to $7.8 billion. This valuation allowed ZEC to surpass Litecoin as the top privacy coin and come closer to entering the top 20 digital assets tracked by Coingecko. However, ZEC's impressive performance has sparked both excitement and skepticism, as it has risen an astonishing 700% since September. Critics caution that this rally may be fueled by coordinated efforts from large holders seeking to exit while attracting retail investors. 💬 Despite the controversy surrounding ZEC's rally, bullish sentiment persists. Former Bitmex CEO Arthur Hayes is among those optimistic about ZEC's future, suggesting that if the current momentum continues, the privacy-focused coin could potentially reach four-digit prices. ⚖️ The performance of other high-cap privacy assets was mixed. Decred (DCR) surged to $64 on November 3—almost double its recent low—before retreating to just under $40. Monero (XMR), which initially led the privacy coin rally, posted only slight gains: up 0.1% in 24 hours and 1.2% over seven days. Meanwhile, Pirate Chain (ARRR), Ergo (ERG), and Tornado Cash (TORN) all recorded losses, with ARRR experiencing the steepest single-day decline of 16.3%, falling to $0.46.

🟢 Mixed Week for Crypto ETFs: Solana Shines While Bitcoin and Ether Struggle 📉 The last trading week ended on a mixed note for cryptocurrency exchange-traded funds (ETFs). Bitcoin and ether ETFs experienced significant outflows exceeding $290 million, while solana ETFs continued their upward trend with a $44 million inflow. This reflects a cautious sentiment among investors as they approach November.

Bitcoin ETFs saw $191.60 million leave across four major funds,

the report states. Blackrock’s IBIT suffered the most with a $149.33 million outflow, followed by Ark & 21Shares’ ARKB with $19.30 million in redemptions. Grayscale’s GBTC was the only exception, managing to attract a $6.88 million inflow despite the overall downturn. 📉 Ether ETFs also mirrored this trend, registering $98.20 million in outflows. Blackrock’s ETHA led the way with $38.63 million exiting, while Fidelity’s FETH saw $27.12 million leave. Grayscale’s ETHE and Ether Mini Trust added to the pressure with $13.73 million and $12.07 million in redemptions, respectively. 🌟 In contrast, solana ETFs emerged as the week’s top performers. Bitwise’s BSOL attracted the entire $44.48 million inflow, supported by strong investor interest. This surge pushed net assets past the half-billion mark to $502.04 million, highlighting solana’s growing presence in the ETF market.

Bitcoin and ether stumbled to the week’s finish line, but solana’s rise offered a glimmer of optimism,

the article concludes. This indicates that while traditional cryptocurrencies may be facing challenges, investor enthusiasm for emerging assets like solana remains robust.

🌟 Bitcoin Dips Below $110K Following Fed Chair Powell's Hawkish Remarks 📉 Bitcoin briefly fell below $110K after U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell hinted that a December rate cut is not guaranteed. This came despite the Fed's decision to lower its policy rate for the second time this year by 25 basis points. Powell's statement during the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) press conference was unexpected and led to a temporary drop in Bitcoin's price to $109.8K.

“A further reduction at the December meeting is not a foregone conclusion,”

Powell explained.

“We haven’t made a decision about December and we’re going to be looking at the data that we have and how that affects the outlook.”

📊 Six weeks prior, the Fed had shifted its interest rate policy following weak employment data. After maintaining steady rates for most of 2025, the central bank cut rates on September 17. This led to a general expectation of further rate reductions into 2027, as indicated by the Fed’s “dot plot”. However, Powell's recent comments suggested a more cautious approach, stating that a third rate cut in December is not assured. 📉 Following Powell's remarks, Bitcoin was trading at $110,403.84, reflecting a 3.02% decrease since Tuesday afternoon. Despite this dip, its weekly performance remained positive with a 3.3% increase over seven days. The 24-hour trading volume rose by 22% to $68.22 billion, while market capitalization fell by 3% to $2.22 trillion. Bitcoin dominance also decreased to 59.59%.

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💰 Bitcoin's Surge: A $115K Rally Amid Market Turmoil 📈 Bitcoin experienced a significant surge, reaching $115,447 on Sunday evening, marking a gain of over 2.5% against the U.S. dollar. Currently, it is trading around $114,476, just 9.2% shy of its all-time high.

Much of bitcoin’s upward momentum is being credited to the thaw between the United States and China as trade tensions have seemingly started to chill.

📊 The price of bitcoin rebounded from an intraday dip at $111,278, with a sharp jump to $115,447 around 6 p.m. Eastern time on Oct. 26. This increase is attributed to easing trade tensions between the U.S. and China, as well as positive movements in U.S. stock futures. 💼 Market participants are also anticipating a potential cut in the federal fund rate by the Federal Reserve and a wave of upcoming earnings reports. The broader crypto market saw a 2.88% increase, reaching $3.88 trillion. Major cryptocurrencies like ethereum (up 5.1%), solana (up 2.9%), and dogecoin (up 4.2%) also experienced gains. 💥 However, the derivatives market faced significant turmoil, with approximately $392.08 million in liquidations reported. Bitcoin shorts alone accounted for $87 million in the past hour following the price spike. In total, about 101,591 traders were liquidated, highlighting the volatile nature of the crypto market.

➡️ Crypto Market Sees Modest Gains Amid Persistent Fear 📈 On Thursday, the crypto economy experienced a slight uptick, rising 1.81% to reach $3.71 trillion as Bitcoin surpassed the $111,000 mark. Most of the top ten cryptocurrencies by market cap showed positive movement. Bitcoin (BTC) increased by 2.9% to $111,282, maintaining its dominance with a market cap of $2.21 trillion. Ethereum followed with a 2.7% rise to $3,925, while Binance's BNB led the day with a 5.99% jump to $1,134. 🌟 Other notable performers included XRP which nudged up 0.45% to $2.42, and Solana which climbed 4.39% to $193. Tron and Dogecoin also saw gains of 1.95% and 2.12% respectively. Outside the top ten, Hyperliquid’s HYPE made headlines with a 10.5% increase to $39.65. 📊 Bitcoin Cash rose 3.22% to $487 and Monero impressed with a 4.48% climb to $320.37. Other cryptocurrencies like Hedera (HBAR) and Avalanche (AVAX) also showed modest gains. 📉 Despite lingering in "extreme fear" yesterday, the Crypto Fear and Greed Index (CFGI) improved slightly to 27 today, indicating a shift to the "fear" zone. Analysts noted that Bitcoin addresses holding between 100 and 1K BTC have been accumulating aggressively.

Overall, the crypto market’s steady climb, like the little engine that could, shows resilience even as fear still lingers in the background.

💰 Bitcoin's Price Movements: A Cautious Optimism 📈 On Monday morning, Bitcoin's price has been fluctuating between $110,803 and $111,057. With a market capitalization of $2.20 trillion and a 24-hour trading volume of $55.35 billion, it is navigating a tight intraday range of $107,453 to $111,374.

After plummeting from a dramatic rejection at $126,000 to a sharp bounce at the $103,530 level, bitcoin is waltzing near the $111,000 mark like it owns the dancefloor.

📊 The daily chart shows a cautiously optimistic mood. Bitcoin bounced back from a low of $103,530 with significant volume, indicating capitulation. A close above $112,000 could lead to the $118,000 zone; however, falling below $106,000 would undermine the current bullish outlook. 🔍 The 4-hour chart reveals a recovery in a stair-step pattern after breaking out of a falling wedge. Support at $103,530 is strong, with resistance just under $113,000. Price consolidation around $111,000 suggests Bitcoin may be preparing for its next move. 📉 Intraday movements show a slight bullish undertone. The hourly chart indicates a slow upward grind, but the $112,000 resistance is proving stubborn. Traders should wait for a breakout above $112,000 or a retreat to $108,000 for a more favorable re-entry.

The relative strength index (RSI) sits at 45—perfectly noncommittal.

⚖️ Moving averages present mixed signals. The 10-period simple moving average (SMA) is slightly bullish at $110,663, while the 10-period exponential moving average (EMA) is bearish at $111,086. However, the 200-period EMAs and SMAs offer support below the current price at $108,104 and $107,909, respectively. 🟢 Bull Verdict: Bitcoin is showing signs of a comeback with a strong bounce off $103,530 and higher lows on multiple timeframes. If the $112,000 ceiling is broken, it could lead to a rally towards $116,000–$118,000. 🔴 Bear Verdict: Despite recovery attempts, the broader structure remains under pressure. Key moving averages and oscillators are signaling downside risk. Resistance at $112,000 is strong, and without a clear break above it, Bitcoin may slip back towards the $106,000–$108,000 region.

🟢 Bitcoin's Current Market Analysis: Bearish Trends and Key Support Levels 📉 Bitcoin is currently trading between $105,579 and $106,377, with a total market capitalization of $2.08 trillion. Over the past 24 hours, it recorded a trading volume of $101.17 billion and experienced an intraday price range of $103,530 to $112,012.

Volume analysis suggests a potential climax, as the last hourly candle displays a lower wick and a green body—early signs of short-term buying interest.

📊 The 1-hour chart indicates a breakdown from the $112,000 level with strong selling momentum. Although there has been a brief period of sideways consolidation near $103,000, the price remains sensitive to sell-side pressure. The 4-hour chart supports this bearish outlook, showing a series of lower highs and lows since the recent high of $116,035.

The price briefly wicked below $103,000 before rebounding slightly, hinting at a potential demand pocket.

📉 From a daily chart perspective, Bitcoin recently reversed sharply after peaking at $126,272. Large red candlesticks on significant volume indicate institutional selling. The recent drop toward $103,530 places Bitcoin at a major support level, with $100,000 being the next psychological floor.

Despite short-term volatility, the overall structure remains fragile.

➡️ Oscillator readings show a largely neutral sentiment with a bearish tilt. The relative strength index (RSI) is at 33, suggesting nearing oversold territory. Meanwhile, moving averages indicate consistent bearish pressure across all timeframes.

Every key exponential moving average (EMA) and simple moving average (SMA) from the 10-period to the 200-period shows action consistent with downward continuation.

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💬 Elon Musk on Bitcoin: Energy as Its Foundation 🔗 On October 14, Elon Musk, CEO of Tesla and SpaceX, expressed his views on Bitcoin through a post on X. He stated that Bitcoin is fundamentally based on energy, drawing a contrast with fiat currencies that governments can inflate at will. This comment was made in response to a Zerohedge article that linked the increasing prices of gold, silver, and Bitcoin to currency debasement driven by government spending in the global artificial intelligence arms race. 🗣 Musk agreed with Zerohedge's assertion that while money can be printed, energy cannot be faked. He wrote:

True. That is why Bitcoin is based on energy: you can issue fake fiat currency, and every government in history has done so, but it is impossible to fake energy.

💡 This statement underscores Bitcoin's value proposition as being rooted in real-world energy costs, which makes it less susceptible to manipulation compared to traditional fiat money. Musk's remarks highlight the tangible and limited value base of Bitcoin due to its connection to energy, contrasting it with the inflationary nature of fiat currencies that can be easily increased by governments.

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🚀 Bitcoin's Bullish Foundation Strengthens Amid Market Calm 📈 Optimism surrounding Bitcoin's long-term outlook is strengthening as industry leaders express growing confidence in its next major rally. Bitcoin advocate Samson Mow, CEO of the bitcoin infrastructure firm Jan3, stated on social media on Oct. 9 that the crypto's underlying fundamentals remain strong despite its subdued performance. He suggests that the current consolidation phase could be laying the groundwork for the next significant rally, supported by expanding institutional interest and a tightening supply landscape.

REMINDER: The bitcoin bull run hasn’t started yet. We’re just marginally outperforming inflation at this price range.

🗓 Mow recently mentioned that the long-anticipated bitcoin bull run has yet to occur and may be delayed until 2026, pointing to shifting macroeconomic and institutional factors. He noted that although President Donald Trump has signed an executive order to establish a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, the U.S. has not begun official accumulation. 💪 Mow's assessment reflects confidence that bitcoin remains undervalued relative to its long-term potential, framing current price movements as a buildup rather than a peak. His perspective aligns with analysts who see the asset's steady trading range as a sign of strengthening market resilience rather than weakness.

I am content with Bitcoin the way it is today. I don’t have any need for new features or more programmability.

🔒 His position reinforces the belief that bitcoin's strength lies in its stability and resistance to unnecessary technical experimentation. While some developers argue for greater functionality to expand bitcoin's utility, Mow and other long-term advocates maintain that its design as decentralized, censorship-resistant money remains its most powerful advantage.

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➡️ Federal Reserve's Dovish Stance: Implications for Bitcoin 📉 The U.S. Federal Reserve recently released the minutes from its September meeting, revealing a dovish outlook among committee members. Approximately half of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) members anticipate two additional interest rate cuts by the end of 2025. This news prompted a surge in Bitcoin's value, which rose to over $124K after a brief dip from its record high of $126,198.07. 🗣 During the meeting, the FOMC decided to reduce its policy rate by 25 basis points for the first time in nearly a year, citing weak employment data as a key factor. President Trump had previously criticized Fed Chair Jerome Powell for his reluctance to implement rate cuts. Despite a September inflation rate of 2.9%—significantly above the Fed's 2% target—the unexpected rise in unemployment compelled the committee to adjust rates. 📊 The released minutes indicated a shift among FOMC members from a hawkish to a dovish stance due to the weak job market and the ongoing government shutdown, which is expected to worsen employment conditions. The minutes stated,

The vast majority of survey respondents expected at least two 25 basis point cuts by year-end, with around half expecting three cuts over that time.

📈 At the time of reporting, Bitcoin was trading at $123,506.78, reflecting a 1.7% increase over the past 24 hours. Despite a 12.06% decrease in trading volume to $68.48 billion, market capitalization rose by 1.86% to $2.46 trillion. Bitcoin dominance slightly increased to 59.04%. Meanwhile, futures open interest remained stable with a minor dip of 0.24% to $90.94 billion, and liquidations totaled $77.77 million, primarily driven by short sellers.

🚀 eCash to Launch Avalanche-Style Pre-Consensus on Nov. 15 ⚡️ During the Electronic Cash Conference in Barcelona, eCash founder Amaury Séchet announced the upcoming launch of the "Pre-Consensus" feature, set to be activated on November 15 as part of the network upgrade. This feature aims to formalize a capability that has been long discussed in the project's roadmap. ⚡️ Pre-Consensus will introduce Avalanche-style consensus to eCash, providing fast transaction finality before block production. It is described as the first instance of instant finality on a proof-of-work (PoW) blockchain, targeting confirmation within three seconds and reducing the reliance on probabilistic settlement for routine payments. Séchet emphasized its significance, stating,

Pre-Consensus is a milestone not just for eCash, but for digital cash technology in general.

💱 For exchanges and services, this change means that deposits can be credited without waiting for multiple block confirmations. Current service providers supporting eCash’s Avalanche finality include Binance, Upbit, Bithumb, HTX, and Coinex. A public scorecard is available to track integrations and planned rollouts. 🔗 Developers describe eCash as a Nakamoto/Avalanche hybrid that maintains proof-of-work while incorporating Avalanche pre-consensus to expedite settlement. The Avalanche implementation on eCash is distinct from the AVAX network and was developed by the Bitcoin ABC team. 🗓 The activation is scheduled for November 15, pending the successful execution of the network upgrade across compatible nodes. Additional information on instant finality and the Avalanche integration can be found on the project's website and the service support scorecard, which will be updated as more services enable the feature.

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📈 October: Bitcoin's Best Month 🌟 October is historically the best month for Bitcoin, with a high median return compared to other months. According to data from Coinglass, Bitcoin has shown positive returns every October for the past twelve years, except in 2014 and 2018. This year, despite being only the second day of the month, Bitcoin has already recorded a 5.41% monthly return. 📊 A recent government shutdown did not deter traders; instead, it seemed to boost their confidence. Following a stalemate between Senate Republicans and Democrats over temporary funding, both Bitcoin and stocks saw a rise. Even a surprising drop in private sector employment was interpreted as a reason for the Federal Reserve to continue cutting interest rates, leading to further gains in both markets. 📈 The monthly trend remains consistent. The S&P 500, Nasdaq, and Dow have all seen increases, with Bitcoin gaining 2.55% over the past 24 hours. This supports the so-called "Uptober" phenomenon. 💰 At the time of writing, Bitcoin was priced at $120,128.94, up 2.55% since yesterday and 9.7% for the week. The cryptocurrency has traded within a range of $117,235.26 to $120,324.11. 📉 However, 24-hour trading volume decreased by 4.88% to $67.82 billion. Market capitalization increased by 2.54% to $2.39 trillion, aligning with the price rise. Bitcoin dominance dipped slightly by 0.52% to 58.74%, indicating rallies in the altcoin market as well. ⚡️ Total Bitcoin futures open interest rose by 3.59% over 24 hours to $88.40 billion. Bitcoin liquidations amounted to $134.70 million since yesterday, primarily driven by short sellers who lost $117.17 million. Long-positioned bulls faced smaller losses of $17.53 million.