Human Nature
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No one can see above himself: Understanding Others through Self-Reflection
Our perception of the world is limited by our own experiences, biases, and assumptions. This means that we can never truly understand another person's perspective, no matter how hard we try. However, we can get closer to understanding others by reflecting on our own experiences and biases. We are all limited by our own perspective and experiences. We can only see and understand what we are capable of seeing and understanding. This is why it is so important to be open-minded and to surround ourselves with people who are different from us. By doing so, we can expand our horizons and learn to see the world in new and different ways.
“No one can see above himself. By this I mean that a person can see in another only as much as he himself possesses, and he can understand another only in proportion to his own mind. If the latter is very small for him, then even the greatest spiritual gifts will not have any effect on him, and in the bearer of them he will notice only one low quality, i.e. weaknesses and shortcomings of character and temperament” - Friedrich Schiller
A person's ability to perceive and comprehend others is inherently limited by their own qualities, mind, and experiences. The idea that we can only see in others what we possess within ourselves offers a fascinating perspective on the complexities of human interactions and relationships. Human beings possess an innate tendency to view the world through their own subjective lenses. Our thoughts, beliefs, and biases shape the way we perceive and interpret the actions, qualities, and intentions of those around us. Consequently, our understanding of others is constrained by the limits of our own mind. If we possess a narrow perspective or limited intellectual faculties, it becomes exceedingly challenging to recognize and appreciate the virtues and depths of individuals who surpass us in those very aspects.
A person with a small mind, whether due to lack of education, closed-mindedness, or an unwillingness to grow, is prone to reducing others to their own level. In such cases, even the most exceptional spiritual or intellectual gifts fail to elicit any positive impact on the individual. Instead, they become fixated on the perceived weaknesses and shortcomings of character and temperament in those who surpass them. The inability to recognize and appreciate the unique qualities and contributions of others stems from their own limited capacity for self-reflection and understanding.
To overcome the limitations imposed by our own minds, it is imperative to engage in continuous self-reflection and personal growth. By introspecting, exploring our beliefs and biases, and expanding our intellectual horizons, we can broaden our understanding of others. Through self-reflection, we develop the capacity to recognize and appreciate the qualities and virtues that surpass our own, rather than being consumed by envy or judgment.
Empathy serves as a powerful tool in transcending the limitations of perception. By placing ourselves in the shoes of others, we can gain a deeper understanding of their experiences, emotions, and perspectives. Empathy allows us to bridge the gap between our own limitations and the unique qualities possessed by others, fostering a sense of connection and appreciation.
Furthermore, cultivating humility is essential in fostering a mindset that is receptive to learning from others. Recognizing our own limitations and acknowledging the expertise and wisdom of others, regardless of their station in life, enables us to expand our intellectual and emotional capacities. Humility encourages us to approach every interaction with an open mind, ready to learn and grow.
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Making Good Decision: Increase your reaction time - Learn to Step Back
This power comes through practice and repetition. When some event or interaction requires a response, you must train yourself to step back. This could mean physically removing yourself to a place where you can be alone and not feel any pressure to respond. Or it could mean writing that angry email but not sending it. You sleep on it for a day or two. You do not make phone calls or communicate while feeling some sudden emotion, particularly resentment. If you find yourself rushing to commit to people, to hire or be hired by them, step back and give it a day. Cool the emotions down. The longer you can take the better, because perspective comes with time. Consider this like resistance training—the longer you can resist reacting, the more mental space you have for actual reflection, and the stronger your mind will become.
PS: In making decisions under conditions of uncertainty, the consequences must dominate the probabilities. We never know the future
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The Hostile Attitude
Some children exhibit a hostile attitude at a very early age. They interpret weaning and the natural separation from parents as hostile actions. Other children must deal with a parent who likes to punish and inflict hurt. In both cases, the child looks out on a world that seems fraught with hostility, and their answer is to seek to control it by becoming the source of the hostility themselves. At least then it is no longer so random and sudden. As they get older, they become adept at stimulating anger and frustration in others, which justifies their original attitude—“See, people are against me, I am disliked, and for no apparent reason.”
People with this attitude have many subtle tricks up their sleeve for provoking the hostility they secretly want to feel directed at them—withdrawing their cooperation on a project at just the wrong moment, constantly being late, doing a poor job, deliberately making an unfavorable first impression. But they never see themselves as playing any kind of role in instigating the reaction.
You can recognize them by how they are easily moved to anger in situations. Their life, as they describe it, is full of battles, betrayals, persecutions, but seemingly not originating from them. In essence, they are projecting their own hostile feelings onto other people and are primed to read them in almost any apparently innocent action. Their goal in life is to feel persecuted and to desire some form of revenge. Such types generally have career problems, as their anger and hostility frequently flare up. This gives them something else to complain about and a basis on which to blame the world for being against them.
If you notice signs of this attitude in yourself, such self-awareness is a major step toward being able to get rid of it. You can also try a simple experiment: Approach people you are meeting for the first time, or only know peripherally, with various positive thoughts—“I like them,” “They seem smart,” et cetera. None of this is verbalized, but you do your best to feel such emotions. If they respond with something hostile or defensive, then perhaps the world is truly against you. More than likely you will not see anything that could be remotely construed as negative. In fact, you will see the opposite. Clearly, then, the source of any hostile response is you.
In dealing with the extremes of this type, struggle as best you can to not respond with the antagonism they expect. Maintain your neutrality. This will confound them and temporarily put a stop to the game they are playing. They feed off your hostility, so do not give them fuel.
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WEALTH HACK
You will only begin building wealth when you start to realize that a part of all the money you earn is yours to keep. That is, pay yourself first. You always pay others for goods and services. Pay yourself as much as you can. Save money.
You should save at least 1/10th of what you earn. More if you can afford to do so.
Do not take advice on finance from a brick layer. Go to people who are experts in a particular subject if you want expert advice. It’s too easy for amateurs to give out advice.
Build for yourself a mountain of gold first, then you can enjoy as many banquets as you wish without worry. Don’t spend your money as soon as you earn it.
Surround yourself with people who are familiar with money, who work with it each day, and who make lots of it.
Enjoy life while you are here. Do not overstrain to save.
Do not put your money in investments which do not pay a dividend, but also do not invest in risky places that seem too good to be true.
What each person calls their “necessary expenses” will always grow to match your income unless you resist that urge. Do not confuse your necessary expenses with your desires.
“A man’s wealth is not in the coins in his purse. It is in his income.”
Ensure a future income. Every person gets old. Make sure your income will continue without work.
Buy life insurance. Provide in advance for the protection of your family.
Increase your ability to earn. Improve your skills. As you perfect your craft, your ability to earn more increases.
The more we know, the more we may earn. The person who seeks to know more of their craft is capable of earning more.
You cannot arrive at the fullest measure of success until you crush the spirit of procrastination within you.
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Wealth Hack
Spend less than you earn—invest the surplus—avoid debt. Do simply this and you’ll wind up rich. Not just in money.
Carrying debt is as appealing as being covered with leeches and has much the same effect. Take out your sharpest knife and start scraping the little bloodsuckers off.
If your lifestyle matches—or god forbid exceeds—your income, you are no more than a gilded slave.
Avoid fiscally irresponsible people. Never marry one or otherwise give him or her access to your money.
Avoid investment advisors. Too many have only their own interests at heart. By the time you know enough to pick a good one, you know enough to handle your finances yourself. It’s your money and no one will care for it better than you.
You own the things you own and they in turn own you. Money can buy many things, but nothing more valuable than your freedom. And that should be what you strive for.
Life choices are not always about the money, but you should always be clear about the financial impact of the choices you make.
Sound investing is not complicated. Save a portion of every dollar you earn or that otherwise comes your way.
The greater the percent of your income you save and invest, the sooner you’ll have F-You Money.
Try saving and investing 50% of your income. With no debt, this is perfectly doable.
The beauty of a high savings rate is twofold: You learn to live on less even as you have more to invest.
The stock market is a powerful wealth-building tool and you should be investing in it. But realize the market and the value of your shares will sometimes drop dramatically. This is absolutely normal and to be expected. When it happens, ignore the drops and buy more shares.
Be persistent. Life is uncertain. Safety is an illusion.
This will be much, much harder than you think. People all around you will panic. But you need to keep your calm.
When you can live on 4% of your investments per year, you are financially independent.
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Envy
The eyes are indeed a telling indicator telling us about envious microexpression that affects the entire face. You will notice the envier’s eyes momentarily boring into you, with a look that suggests disdain and a touch of hostility. It is the look of a child who feels cheated. With this look the corners of the mouth will often be turned down, the nose in a sneering, somewhat upturned position, the chin jutting out.
Although the look will be a little too direct and held a little too long, it still will not last more than a second or two. It is usually followed with a strained, fake smile. Often you will see the look by accident, as you suddenly turn your head their direction, or you will feel their eyes burning into you without directly looking at them.
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Do not show your wounded Finger
For everything will knock up against it; nor complain about it, for malice always aims where weakness can be injured. It is no use to be vexed: Ill-will searches for wounds to irritate, aims darts to try the temper, and tries a thousand ways to sting to the quick. The wise never own to being hit, or disclose any evil, whether personal or hereditary. For even Fate sometimes likes to wound us where we are most tender. It always mortifies wounded flesh. Never therefore disclose the source of mortification or of joy, if you wish the one to cease, the other to endure.
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Affairs with X and Y: The Human Conundrum
One thing about me - I always observe. You could walk into a room and you prolly won't notice me. I watch everyone. Not because I want to, but because people perplex me. Humans fascinate me. Nothing ever misses my four eyes. Don't get me wrong though, I am no creep. I don't invade anyones privacy. I just watch and notice small details that would otherwise escape a normal person.
Long story short; I've watched many people but what have I really taken out of it? "The wise man knows he knows nothing, the fool thinks he knows all." The ancient Chinese didn't get it wrong there. Socrates also had to say this - " The only true wisdom is in knowing you know nothing!"
Puzzling is that, we humans are cut from the same cloth yet so different at the same time. In my recent encounters I've come across two types of people. Let me call them X and Y. Y is this mysterious person you struggle to understand. Day one you see him and you think you really know him. Day two he displays another side of him and you think you've fully gotten to know the real him. Day 3 he pulls out a totally different card you didn't think a person like him is capable of and you're left pondering who really is this person. Fast forward, you've interacted with him for more than six months and you still don't get him. His is a real life puzzle. A puzzle too complex for a narrow-minded person to fathom. Y's mystery is more challenging to solve than a sudoku puzzle. He does all this with a surprising subtlety and with a manner not intimidating to those who surround him.
Y is this peculiar individual who has mastered the art of telling you little about themselves but doing it in such a way you think you know a lot. Mind you, he does this in humility because he is as wise as a serpent and as harmless as a dove. Strive to be Y if you love yourself. Personally, I'm still on a journey to be Y. It ain't easy though. After all, when you're great it is really difficult to be humble. The will must be stronger than the skill.
Let's now get to my main topic of contention. The group of people who inspired me to bore you with this article.
X is this person who thinks of himself so highly. He thinks he holds the key to knowledge. A typical know-it-all. Person X has this innate superiority complex. Just because they know something, they think you don't. If X shows you something they suddenly brag of how you wouldn't know such stuff if it weren't them. No offence, but X is a character with a bloated ego and an illusioned sense of self-entitlement.
Don't be X. People will avoid you. With time, your knowledge will drive you down a path. A path that will dismally lead to your downfall. One thing you have to understand is that, every person in this world you meet knows something you don't. After all, no one person has the monopoly to wisdom and knowledge. Socrates, Plato, Aristotle and the ilk were the true encapsulation of wisdom and knowledge but they didn't go around displaying it. Ask yourself why?
PS: This script is written by Laban Lanze, a subscriber of this channel. And you are not allowed to copy any part of it without authorization.
You can also submit your contribution in our group Order of the Embers
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LOVE - The Ultimate Unseen Force that Governs our Universe: Albert Einstein's Letter to his Daughter
When I proposed the theory of relativity, very few understood me, and what I will reveal now to transmit to mankind will also collide with the misunderstanding and prejudice in the world.
I ask you to guard the letters as long as necessary, years, decades, until society is advanced enough to accept what I will explain below.
There is an extremely powerful force that, so far, science has not found a formal explanation to. It is a force that includes and governs all others, and is even behind any phenomenon operating in the universe and has not yet been identified by us.
This universal force is LOVE.
When scientists looked for a unified theory of the universe they forgot the most powerful unseen force.
Love is Light, that enlightens those who give and receive it.
Love is gravity, because it makes some people feel attracted to others.
Love is power, because it multiplies the best we have, and allows humanity not to be extinguished in their blind selfishness. Love unfolds and reveals.
For love we live and die.
Love is God and God is Love.
This force explains everything and gives meaning to life. This is the variable that we have ignored for too long, maybe because we are afraid of love because it is the only energy in the universe that man has not learned to drive at will.
To give visibility to love, I made a simple substitution in my most famous equation.
If instead of E = mc2, we accept that the energy to heal the world can be obtained through love multiplied by the speed of light squared, we arrive at the conclusion that love is the most powerful force there is, because it has no limits.
After the failure of humanity in the use and control of the other forces of the universe that have turned against us, it is urgent that we nourish ourselves with another kind of energy…
If we want our species to survive, if we are to find meaning in life, if we want to save the world and every sentient being that inhabits it, love is the one and only answer.
Perhaps we are not yet ready to make a bomb of love, a device powerful enough to entirely destroy the hate, selfishness and greed that devastate the planet.
However, each individual carries within them a small but powerful generator of love whose energy is waiting to be released.
When we learn to give and receive this universal energy, dear Lieserl, we will have affirmed that love conquers all, is able to transcend everything and anything, because love is the quintessence of life.
I deeply regret not having been able to express what is in my heart, which has quietly beaten for you all my life. Maybe it’s too late to apologize, but as time is relative, I need to tell you that I love you and thanks to you I have reached the ultimate answer! “
Your father Albert Einstein
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Educate yourself about the Basics
In reality, most things are simpler than you think. You don’t need to attend expensive aerobics classes to become fit. There’s no need to buy pricey home-delivered meals designed by some renowned doctor to lose weight. An investment advisor can often deliver worse results than if you were to educate yourself with free articles and invest on your own. Whenever you want to make a change in your life and find that everywhere you look, companies involved in the industry make it complicated, step aside and review the fundamentals. Somehow people were still fit before the advent of commercial gyms. They still managed to build successful businesses without Internet gurus. It was still possible to eat healthily in a world where bookstores weren’t filled to the brim with diet books. Don’t use the fact that the industry makes things complicated as an excuse not to make a change. Educate yourself about the basics and draw your own conclusions. For you to make a change in your life, no expensive coach is necessary.
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The Underworld Trinity
How do you need to be spoken to? What do you need to take from people? What are you putting up with, or pretending to like, from duty or obligation? Consult your resentment. It’s a revelatory emotion, for all its pathology. It’s part of an evil triad: arrogance, deceit, and resentment. Nothing causes more harm than this underworld Trinity. But resentment always means one of two things. Either the resentful person is immature, in which case he or she should shut up, quit whining, and get on with it, or there is tyranny afoot—in which case the person subjugated has a moral obligation to speak up. Why? Because the consequence of remaining silent is worse. Of course, it’s easier in the moment to stay silent and avoid conflict. But in the long term, that’s deadly. When you have something to say, silence is a lie—and tyranny feeds on lies. When should you push back against oppression, despite the danger? When you start nursing secret fantasies of revenge; when your life is being poisoned and your imagination fills with the wish to devour and destroy.
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Rising Pressure
The people around you generally appear sane and in control of their lives. But put any of them in stressful circumstances, with the pressure rising, and you will see a different reality. The cool mask of self-control comes off. They suddenly lash out in anger, reveal a paranoid streak, and become hypersensitive and often petty.
Under stress or any threat, the most primitive parts of the brain are aroused and engaged, overwhelming people’s reasoning powers. In fact, stress or tension can reveal flaws in people that they have carefully concealed from view. It is often wise to observe people in such moments, precisely as a way to judge their true character.
Whenever you notice rising pressure and stress levels in your life, you must watch yourself carefully. Monitor any signs of unusual brittleness or sensitivity, sudden suspicions, fears disproportionate to the circumstances. Observe with as much detachment as possible, finding time and space to be alone. You need perspective. Never imagine that you are someone who can withstand rising stress without emotional leakage. It is not possible. But through self-awareness and reflection you can prevent yourself from making decisions you will come to regret.
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Occam's Razor Principle
Occam's Razor, also known as the law of parsimony, is a principle that states that the simplest explanation is often the best explanation. A person hears a strange noise in their attic. The simplest explanation is that it's a loose piece of insulation or a small animal. The more complex explanation would be that it's a ghost or an alien. Based on Occam's Razor, the person should first investigate the simple explanations before considering more complex one. The principle of Occam's Razor is often expressed as "entities should not be multiplied beyond necessity." In other words, when presented with multiple explanations for a phenomenon, the simplest explanation that accounts for all the available data is the most likely to be correct.
The principle of Occam's Razor is widely used in philosophy and everyday life. It is often invoked in arguments about the existence of God, where proponents of the Razor argue that the existence of God is an unnecessary and complex explanation for the universe's existence. Similarly, the principle is used in discussions about conspiracy theories, where proponents of the Razor argue that the simplest explanation for an event is often the most likely explanation. When faced with a complex problem, it is often helpful to look for a simpler explanation. This can help to avoid overthinking and wasting time and resources on unnecessary solutions.
However, it is important to note that Occam’s Razor is not a hard and fast rule. In some cases, complex explanations may be more accurate than simpler ones. For example, in physics, the theory of relativity is much more complex than the laws of classical mechanics, but it has been shown to be more accurate in explaining the behavior of objects at high speeds and in strong gravitational fields. First, it is important to note that simplicity is not always the best criterion for evaluating explanations. Sometimes, more complex explanations are required to account for all the available data. Second, the principle is only useful when there are multiple explanations for a phenomenon.
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Dominate Murphy’s Law
Do you ever feel like everything is going wrong and grievance after grievance just piles up like a cascading waterfall? It can be almost like a movie as to how much suffering can suddenly occur. Welcome to the feeling of Murphy’s Law: anything that can go wrong will go wrong.
Basically, if you drop a piece of buttered toast, it will inevitably fall on the buttered side. If you wear white pants, you will inevitably get splashed by a dark liquid. If you just washed your car, a bird will relieve itself on top of the hood. If you just went on a diet, your significant other will somehow bring home a cheesecake they scored for free. You get the idea—if it exists, you will find yourself in the worst possible scenario for whatever you are focusing on.
Murphy's Law states that "Left to themselves, things tend to go from bad to worse. Any attempt on your part to correct this will only accelerate the process".
And there is also the observation that the other line always moves faster. You probably get the idea by now. Everything goes wrong all at once. Whatever slight possibility there is for something to go poorly will be realized. Murphy's law reminds us that just about everything is subject to failure and error. Sometimes a failure represents a coincidence that simply could not be prevented or predicted. Other times, a failure represents a systematic series of errors in which failure was inevitable. While Murphy's Law may seem like an insurmountable obstacle, it's important to remember that we have the power to dominate and conquer it. By being proactive and prepared, we can reduce the likelihood of negative events occurring and minimize their impact when they do.
We must take proactive steps to minimize the impact of Murphy's Law. This means identifying potential risks and preparing contingency plans to mitigate them. If you keep Murphy’s Law in mind, you can drastically change the way with which you approach certainty. Make sure matters are not left to chance. What are the small cracks in which Murphy’s Law could take hold? What truly needs verification/confirmation? What part of my plan (recipe, test, task) am I quietly hoping will be good enough to get by? Plan for the worst-case scenario, and much like anti-mental models, seek to avoid what you don’t want, as opposed to aiming toward what you do want. You might get away with it, but that’s not a mindset you should be relying upon.
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Dominate Murphy’s Law
Do you ever feel like everything is going wrong and grievance after grievance just piles up like a cascading waterfall? It can be almost like a movie as to how much suffering can suddenly occur. Welcome to the feeling of Murphy’s Law: anything that can go wrong will go wrong.
Basically, if you drop a piece of buttered toast, it will inevitably fall on the buttered side. If you wear white pants, you will inevitably get splashed by a dark liquid. If you just washed your car, a bird will relieve itself on top of the hood. If you just went on a diet, your significant other will somehow bring home a cheesecake they scored for free. You get the idea—if it exists, you will find yourself in the worst possible scenario for whatever you are focusing on.
Murphy's Law states that "Left to themselves, things tend to go from bad to worse. Any attempt on your part to correct this will only accelerate the process".
And there is also the observation that the other line always moves faster. You probably get the idea by now. Everything goes wrong all at once. Whatever slight possibility there is for something to go poorly will be realized. Murphy's law reminds us that just about everything is subject to failure and error. Sometimes a failure represents a coincidence that simply could not be prevented or predicted. Other times, a failure represents a systematic series of errors in which failure was inevitable. While Murphy's Law may seem like an insurmountable obstacle, it's important to remember that we have the power to dominate and conquer it. By being proactive and prepared, we can reduce the likelihood of negative events occurring and minimize their impact when they do.
We must take proactive steps to minimize the impact of Murphy's Law. This means identifying potential risks and preparing contingency plans to mitigate them. If you keep Murphy’s Law in mind, you can drastically change the way with which you approach certainty. Make sure matters are not left to chance. What are the small cracks in which Murphy’s Law could take hold? What truly needs verification/confirmation? What part of my plan (recipe, test, task) am I quietly hoping will be good enough to get by? Plan for the worst-case scenario, and much like anti-mental models, seek to avoid what you don’t want, as opposed to aiming toward what you do want. You might get away with it, but that’s not a mindset you should be relying upon.
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Be able to see both the forest (big picture) and the trees (finer details)
You can never have too much knowledge about a given field. In fact, the more you learn, it’s likely that the less you feel that you know. But is it possible that our confidence in understanding and knowledge in the “big picture” can result in our occasionally neglecting the small details? And can our expertise in a certain domain make us miss simple solutions outside our field of understanding? To avoid this dilemma, separate your thinking into two modes: expert and novice. As you’ve learned, they tend to focus on completely different aspects of a given topic. To think like an expert, well, do what you would usually do. Thinking like a novice requires you to humble yourself and not skip steps.
A common saying tells us to avoid “missing the forest for the trees.” The meaning is that when you focus on the small details (trees), you tend to either lose focus or stop paying attention to the big picture (forest). This would be when you become far too invested in playing a video game (tree) when the original point of the video game was to spend time with your significant other and improve the relationship (forest). And of course, the inverse also applies; you can also “miss the trees for the forest,” where you focus on the big picture to the detriment of glossing over smaller details. When we have expertise in a field, we tend to fall into this permutation because we take a look at something and it instantly generates a host of reactions and thoughts.
Avoid thinking like an expert (occasionally), because experts don’t always think about the little details. The more your expertise grows, the harder it becomes to spot those small errors. Experts skim and make assumptions about the basics because that’s how their world works; they don’t act as a spell-check. Thinking like an expert is by no means a bad practice, as it’s what gives rise to new connections, advancements in thought, and overall learning. But for our purposes, it does create some rather large pitfalls that lead us to missing the trees for the forest: skimming, glossing over details, assumptions, unproven connections, and thinking about what something should or can be versus what it currently is.
Harping on every small detail, particularly when you’re confident about your field of expertise, can be annoying, trying, and frustrating. But it’s also dramatically effective in cutting down on mistakes and even major catastrophes.
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Separate Correlation From Causation 2/2
In a lot of cases, correlations are nothing more than flukes or chance, yet we rapidly jump to causal thoughts. When evaluating cause and effect, the default mental model should always be to separate correlation from causation and not assume a causal relationship unless you can definitively say so. As we gain more life experience, causal factors become a little more complex. There are more conditions, underlying motives, and elements that affect events. Sometimes it’s hard to point to a singular cause, because it’s hard to say that it acted alone or wasn’t the product of multiple mini-causes.
This process involves looking past the immediate reason things happen (the proximate cause) and searching for certain greater, more fundamental basis that things happen (the root cause). The proximate cause is to the root cause as correlation is to plain causation. Solving for the former (proximate cause; correlation) won’t rid you of your troubles. Getting rid of the proxima causes is a more critical and profound way of discovering the real answers and explanations for events. Quality thinking means going past the proximate cause—which is usually just a physical sequence of cues—and understanding the factors, thinking or emotional patterns, or environmental elements that set the groundwork for something happening.
Differentiating between proximate and root causes makes one keep going in the discovery process—whereas, left to one’s own instincts, they might just stop asking once they identify the immediate cause or even when they see a vague correlation. By going deeper you’ll get a better understanding of why things happen and be better positioned to deal with problems.
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Separate Correlation From Causation: How to understand what truly needs to be addressed to solve a problem
In efforts to understand why certain events happen, we must go looking for instigating factors. It’s only logical that we try to find a previous event directly responsible for causing the event we’re looking at. This is what we should spend our time trying to fix, but it turns out that we might be spending all of our time on the wrong issue. We’re fooled into confusing correlation for causation. Therefore, separating correlation from causation is essential to avoid making incorrect assumptions.
Correlation is a statistical term. It shows that two individual elements or variables share similar traits or trends—“ice cream and homicides both increased.” That’s all there is to correlation: two things behave similarly in this way or that way. Correlation does not describe why or how the relationship between two items is the way it is; it doesn’t give a reason. It just says, “These two things are generally doing the same thing at the same time.”
Causation, on the other hand, is an effort to establish the reason things happen—also referred to as “cause and effect.” The message of causation is: “This thing changed, which in turn caused this other thing to change.” To believe that the increase in ice cream sales caused the increase in homicides is a logical mistake. This is countered by the phrase correlation doesn’t imply causation—just because two events are similar doesn’t mean one is causing the other one to happen.
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