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Trade Watcher

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📈We track everything that moves the markets: fast news, clear context, real narratives. 📩 Reach out: @strategy

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-1 66424 ساعات
-11 2727 أيام
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Ex-Goldman Sachs trader rewires your brain to show you how to think about money.@trading
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Video Project 13.mp4166.33 MB
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Movie intros in 2026.@trading
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ex8rJ__TIHxtNSIM.mp413.28 MB
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Life hack: Stick to one thing for a long time until it works.@trading
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Funny thing about screen time: you need to put in an insane amount of hours to learn the game of trading. But once your systems are refined, continuing to spend the same number of hours often works against you. You start making mistakes, not because your process is wrong, but because you deviate from it. Noise from outside (other traders opinions, constantly staring at the charts, etc) starts to override your own framework. In the long run, a clear mind with sharp, decisive thinking outperforms endless screen time. ✅ @trading
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JUST IN: Gold futures have extended gains above $4,380 per ounce, reflecting a 65% year-to-date increase and approaching a new record high. @trading
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🚨 A quiet signal that could shake global markets The Bank of Japan is signaling a possible rate hike next week. The decision comes overnight between 18 and 19 December and markets are starting to pay attention. This would be the first rate hike in 11 months. Rumors began circulating about a week ago and have only intensified since. ❕ If rates are raised markets likely move lower, possibly less aggressively due to early front running. There is a real chance this BoJ meeting becomes one of the most important macro events of the month and a key driver for what comes next. ✅ @trading
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📣 President Trump signed an executive order to override state AI laws. This sets up major legal battles across the country because Trump wants to protect tech companies from state level regulation.​ Right now, states like California and Colorado have their own AI safety rules. Companies have to follow different rules in different states, which slows things down. The Attorney General will create a legal team within 30 days whose only job is to sue states that have AI laws Trump's team doesn't like. They'll argue these state laws are unconstitutional. The Commerce Secretary has 90 days to figure out which state laws that require AI companies to be transparent about how their systems work or to check for bias.​ There's also a financial penalty. States with laws the administration doesn't like will lose federal funding for broadband internet expansion.​ Trump's argument is that companies need one simple rulebook, not 50 different ones. He points out that China doesn't have this problem, the Chinese government doesn't force companies to navigate conflicting regulations across different regions. If American companies had to get approval from 50 different states, they'd just give up and invest elsewhere. So by eliminating the state patchwork, Trump believes the US can move faster and stay ahead of China in AI development.@trading
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a0K5z81-eHKytX95.mp411.74 MB
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Your plan is your protection from your own impulses.@trading
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JUST IN: President Trump is preparing to introduce substantial tax breaks for corporations. The anticipated tax guidance, expected as early as next week, will enable companies to fully utilize R&D tax breaks, allowing retroactive claims under the new tax bill. @trading
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📝 4 Entry Triggers Every Trader Should Know A simple and practical breakdown of 4 entry triggers that consistently appear in real market structure. Clear logic, clean execution, no unnecessary complexity. 🟡 Fading breakout traders When price breaks a key level and open interest jumps, breakout traders rush in expecting continuation. If price quickly snaps back, those new traders become trapped and their exits fuel a move in the opposite direction. This creates one of the cleanest reversal triggers since you are trading directly against failed momentum. 🟡 Liquidation flushes Sharp liquidation events create long wicks and temporary price inefficiencies. Markets tend to rebalance after these shocks as liquidity returns, which is why these wicks often get filled quickly. This setup works well in volatile phases and near exhaustion points where forced selling or buying pushes price too far. 🟡 Orderblocks Orderblocks are zones where previous heavy participation occurred, usually during sideways movements before a strong move away. When price revisits these levels, the same participants often defend the area, creating reliable reaction points. Clean pivots with no messy wicks are the strongest since they signal clear institutional activity. 🟡 London session liquidity setup London frequently sets the daily low or high early in the session. Later in the day price often returns to sweep internal liquidity around that level before continuing the trend. This repeatable behavior offers structured entries based on predictable liquidity grabs tied to session mechanics. These 4 triggers work because they exploit trapped traders, forced liquidations and consistent liquidity patterns rather than relying on indicators. Keep them simple, wait for clean context and let the setups come to you.@trading
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JUST IN: Silver has surpassed Microsoft to become the world’s fifth largest asset by market capitalization. ✅ @trading
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🔽 Oracle drops, AI jitters rise. What is actually happening $ORCL fell more than 11% after hours and pulled the whole AI trade lower. Futures slipped about 1%. At first glance it looks ugly, but the reaction is louder than the fundamentals. 💵 Oracle raised its 2026 CapEx guidance by $15B. All year long the market rewarded companies for raising CapEx in AI. So why the sudden panic? ❗️ The concern is debt. Investors are asking how this expansion will be financed. But the key point is simple. Oracle is borrowing because demand is exploding, and missing the AI buildout would be more expensive than taking on leverage. 🕯 This is the same playbook Microsoft and Amazon used from 2012 to 2017 when they scaled cloud infrastructure. Oracle’s leverage is still manageable and sits below several peers. Sentiment simply swung back toward the “AI is a bubble” narrative after a strong rally and a dovish Fed meeting. The after hours reaction looks like an overreaction rather than a shift in fundamentals.
Asset owners still look set to win.
@trading
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Repost from Crypto Insider
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Performance in 2025: ➡️S&P 500: 16.3% ➡️Nasdaq: 21.7% ➡️Gold: 60% 🔴Bitcoin: -1% ✅ Subscribe to @cryp
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🇺🇸 US Initial Jobless Claims: Actual: 236k Expected: 220k ✅ @trading
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🚨 Jobless claims data hits in 1 hour Initial Jobless Claims drop at 08:30 AM ET and the market is watching this print closely. ● Expected: 221K ● Previous: 191K 🔼 If the number lands above 221K the market may read it as cooling labor which boosts odds of Fed rate cuts and supports risk assets and crypto. 🔽 If the number comes in below 221K the labor market still looks tight which can keep the Fed cautious and add short term pressure. 🕯 If the print is near 221K the reaction stays neutral and the current trend likely continues. How will the market react? 👍 Up 🤝 Flat 👎 Down@trading
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📝 FOMC RECAP The Fed delivered a hawkish 25 bps cut, while the dot plot still shows only ONE cut in 2026, with the most divided vote in 6 years (9-3). Key Takeaways: 🟡 Fed launching $40B in T-bill purchases (reserve management, not QE) 🟡 Statement raised the bar for more cuts 🟡 Next cut now priced for June 2026 🗣️ Powell’s tone: ● Says policy is now in a neutral range ● Payroll gains overstated, real payrolls may be negative ● Inflation overshoot is mostly due to tariffs ● Labor market has significant downside risks ● T-bill buys may continue for months ❓ WHAT THIS MEANS FOR MARKETS NOW 🕯 Equities: Should trade sideways to lower. 💸 Crypto: Expect volatility and a downside bias short term.
A hawkish cut is not the beginning of easy money.
@trading
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Cisco has officially recovered from the 2000 dot-com crash.@trading
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You fail not because of your entry model, but because you start thinking about entries before understanding the context. Entry = last step. Bias + narrative = where 90% of your focus should be.@trading
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JUST IN: President Trump has officially launched the Trump Gold Card and Trump Platinum Card, with the Gold Card offering US residency in record time for a processing fee and a $1 million contribution following DHS vetting. @trading
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🫡 ✅ @trading
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